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Aug 5 2010
The rain would be a welcomed sight, since Long Island has not had a decent, widespread soaking in about two weeks (remember the tornado warnings?). ...

So far, the first few days of August have been a bit on the cooler side, as cool as you can get during the dog days of summer. For August 1st through 3rd, Islip/MacArthur airport averaged 1.5 degrees below normal. Since Sunday, the high temperature has not gotten past 82. A persistent onshore flow has made for a good deal of clouds and a cooler breeze. That's about to change over the next few days.

With high pressure anchored offshore, expect the humidity to be fairly high for the next couple of days. Temperatures on the other hand will be more August-like, a little above normal but not excessive. Highs of 85-90 will be the rule into the weekend. There is a slight chance of a stray thunderstorm on Wednesday, but the bigger story is the possibility of strong storms as a cold front traverses the region on Thursday. Primarily, forecasters are keeping an eye on the possibility of gusty winds with these storms, but since the atmosphere is juicy once again, heavy rain is a good bet in any of these storms. The rain would be a welcomed sight, since Long Island has not had a decent, widespread soaking in about two weeks (remember the tornado warnings?).

Beyond that, heading into the weekend, so far expect another decent weekend. Warm temperatures and low humidity are expected with no rain around (with an exception?) until some time early next week. Highs will be in the low to mid 80s Islandwide Friday through Sunday. Keep in mind, there is a fly in the ointment, as some computer guidance is showing a secondary cold front on Friday which could cause a scattered thunderstorm late in the day.

On Tuesday, all eyes from the National Hurricane Center and the weather world were on Tropical Storm Colin which was finally named Tuesday morning based on estimates of sustained winds at 40 mph. By the end of the day the Hurricane Center issued its last advisory for now on Colin, describing it as a remnant low. There is a possibility that Colin's remains could regenerate in the next few days, which some computer model guidance suggests. If that's the case, the storm still needs monitoring. The dynamics of the atrmosphere around the storm and in its projected path are not conducive for a strong tropical system. The possibility of a severe hit from this storm on Long Island, other than, say, a few hours of heavy rain, is slim.




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